Designing a Resilient Governance Model for Critical Industries Supply Chain in Post-War Conditions: A Policy-Based Approach with Emphasis on General Purpose Technologies

Document Type : Research paper

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Department of Technology Development Studies, Iranian Research Organization for Science and Technology (IROST), Tehran, Iran

10.22034/rahyaft.2026.12327.1670

Abstract

Iran's science and technology system faces extensive structural damages to industrial and logistical infrastructures in post-war conditions, and traditional supply chain management approaches lack the necessary capacity to ensure resilience in such circumstances. This research aims to design a resilient governance model for the supply chain of critical industries in post-war conditions with a policy-based approach and emphasis on general purpose technologies. The research employed an exploratory mixed-methods design. In the qualitative phase, 34 experts were interviewed and data were analyzed using directed content analysis. In the quantitative phase, the extracted model was validated using the fuzzy Delphi method (three rounds, 42 experts) and components were leveled using interpretive structural modeling. Findings indicate that the final model consists of four governance layers (meta, strategic, operational, and monitoring) and nine main components. Fuzzy Delphi results show the highest importance coefficients for technological infrastructure and intelligent tracking and monitoring systems . Interpretive structural modeling structured the components into five levels, with financing policies and resource allocation as the sole independent driver at the base of the model, and learning and adaptability mechanisms at the final outcomes level. General purpose technologies, particularly artificial intelligence, play a key facilitating role in the operational and monitoring layers. The proposed model, moving beyond linear and static approaches and utilizing learning feedback loops, represents a step toward antifragile governance in the post-war supply chain of critical industries and can serve as a roadmap for science and technology policymakers.
Keywords: Resilient Governance, Critical Industries Supply Chain, Post-War, General Purpose Technologies, Science and Technology Policy

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