مروری بر کارکردها و کاربردهای آینده نگاری در سیاست گذاری علم، فناوری و نوآوری

سخن سردبیر

نویسنده

دانشیار مدیریت تکنولوژی، پژوهشکده مطالعات بنیادین علم و فناوری، دانشگاه شهید بهشتی، تهران، ایران

چکیده

مروری بر کارکردها و کاربردهای آینده نگاری در سیاست گذاری علم، فناوری و نوآوری

کلیدواژه‌ها

عنوان مقاله [English]

An overview of foresight applications in science, technology, and innovation policy making

نویسنده [English]

  • Kiarash Fartash
Associate Professor in Technology Management, Institute for Science and Technology Studies, Shahid Beheshti University, Tehran, Iran
چکیده [English]

An overview of foresight applications in science, technology, and innovation policy making

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

  • overview
  • foresight applications
  • science
  • technology
  • innovation policy making

مراجع

Adesida, O., Gatune, J. & Eyakuze, A. (2024). Foresight for a better African future: Lessons from six decades of practice. Development Policy Review, 42(S 1), e12788. https://doi.org/10.1111/dpr.12788
Aguirre-Bastos, C., & Weber, M. K. (2018). Foresight for shaping national innovation systems in developing economies. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 128, 186-196. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2017.11.025
Andersen, A. D., & Andersen, P. D. (2017). Foresighting for inclusive development. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 119, 227-236. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2016.06.007
Boston, J. (2021). Assessing the options for combating democratic myopia and safeguarding long-term interests. Futures, 125, 102668. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2020.102668
Fartash, K., Navab Irani, P., & Azizi, A. (2025). Exploring the policy-related functions of the STI foresight: Case study of Iran's national S&T foresight programme. Rahyaft, 35(2), 7-26. (Persian) https://doi.org/10.22034/rahyaft.2026.12329.1671
Georghiou, L., & Harper, J. C. (2011). From priority-setting to articulation of demand: Foresight for research and innovation policy and strategy. Futures, 43(3), 243-251. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2010.11.003
Hafezi, R., Malekifar, S., & Akhavan, A. (2018). Analyzing Iran’s science and technology foresight programs: Recommendations for further practices. foresight, 20(3), 312-331. https://doi.org/10.1108/FS-10-2017-0064
Hafezi, R., Zinati, A., & Azizi, A. (2025). The role of technology foresight in prioritizing science and technology policies in Iran: Evidence from an expert-based assessment of transformative technologies. Rahyaft, 35(2), 27-44. (Persian) https://doi.org/10.22034/rahyaft.2026.12185.1631
Havas, A., Schartinger, D., & Weber, M. (2010). The impact of foresight on innovation policy-making: Recent experiences and future perspectives. Research Evaluation, 19(2), 91-104. https://doi.org/10.3152/095820210X510133 
Jafari Sabdani, P., Kousari, S., & Rezayan, A. (2025). The future of Iran’s telecommunications industry in the face of macro transformations: Identifying the critical drivers of the business ecosystem. Rahyaft, 35(2), 67-94.  (Persian)  https://doi.org/10.22034/rahyaft.2026.12284.1657
Karimmian, Z., Nozari, M., & Ramezan Ghorbani, J. (2025). Evolution of foresight in technology policy and innovation governance: A bibliometric study (1967-2025). Rahyaft, 35(2), 115-130. (Persian) https://doi.org/10.22034/rahyaft.2026.12196.1633
Krishnan, A. & Robele, S. (2024). Anticipatory development foresight: An approach for international and multilateral organizations. Development Policy Review, 42(S. 1), e12778.
Kuhi, A., Borumand Kakhki, A., & Nasresfahani, A. (2025). An anticipatory governance framework for the Islamic Consultative Assembly based on global experiences and national requirements. Rahyaft, 35(2), 45-65. (Persian) https://doi.org/10.22034/rahyaft.2026.12159.1629
Li, N., Chen, K., & Kou, M. (2017). Technology foresight in China: Academic studies, governmental practices and policy applications. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 119, 246-255. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2016.08.010
Meissner, D., & Rudnik, P. (2017). Creating sustainable impact from Foresight on STI Policy. Foresight, 19(5), 457-472. https://doi.org/10.1108/FS-06-2016-0021
Ouma-Mugabe, J., Botha, A. & Letaba, P. (2024). Institutionalizing foresight in science, technology, and innovation in sub-Saharan Africa. Development Policy Review, 42(S. 1), e12789. https://doi.org/10.1111/dpr.12789
Paya, A., & Shoraka, H. R. B. (2010). Futures studies in Iran: Learning through trial and error. Futures, 42(5), 484-495. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2009.11.033
Priebe, M., Veit, S., & Warnke, P. (2025). Understanding foresight‐policy interactions: The role of institutionalization. Futures & Foresight Science, 7(1), e197. https://doi.org/10.1002/ffo2.197
Safdari Ranjbar, M., Karimi, Z., & Fartash, K. (2025). Scenario planning of digital agriculture in Iran: Key drivers, uncertainties, and scenarios. Rahyaft, 35(2), 95-114. (Persian) https://doi.org/10.22034/rahyaft.2026.12294.1658
Sokolova, A. (2022). Pre-foresight integrative methodology for STI policy: Increasing coherence and impact. Futures, 135, 102875. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2021.102875
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